Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.059840 0.064760 0.069730 0.075121 0.080796 0.086585 0.092930
2025-02-09 0.053217 0.060557 0.068225 0.076804 0.086106 0.095863 0.106841
2025-02-16 0.049118 0.058418 0.068415 0.079897 0.092658 0.106344 0.122068
2025-02-23 0.042276 0.052599 0.064023 0.077489 0.092811 0.109593 0.129251
2025-03-02 0.037575 0.048740 0.061427 0.076730 0.094506 0.114331 0.137935
2025-03-09 0.033772 0.045575 0.059325 0.076263 0.096309 0.119027 0.146466
2025-03-16 0.032061 0.044735 0.059807 0.078700 0.101397 0.127450 0.159272
2025-03-23 0.030041 0.043332 0.059462 0.080024 0.105083 0.134196 0.170131
2025-03-30 0.028097 0.041862 0.058902 0.080973 0.108236 0.140266 0.180185
2025-04-06 0.025837 0.039818 0.057481 0.080733 0.109846 0.144433 0.187951
2025-04-13 0.024699 0.039165 0.057752 0.082552 0.113945 0.151576 0.199285
2025-04-20 0.022651 0.037143 0.056136 0.081869 0.114854 0.154795 0.205864
2025-04-27 0.021120 0.035778 0.055356 0.082271 0.117177 0.159840 0.214818
2025-05-04 0.020095 0.035058 0.055388 0.083698 0.120792 0.166497 0.225794
2025-05-11 0.019736 0.035270 0.056669 0.086778 0.126549 0.175868 0.240192
2025-05-18 0.017457 0.032509 0.053734 0.084117 0.124793 0.175766 0.242819
2025-05-25 0.015957 0.030813 0.052194 0.083255 0.125314 0.178486 0.248934
2025-06-01 0.014683 0.029379 0.050949 0.082729 0.126226 0.181669 0.255616
2025-06-08 0.014399 0.029491 0.051929 0.085290 0.131264 0.190171 0.269068
2025-06-15 0.013806 0.029063 0.052087 0.086680 0.134727 0.196656 0.279996
2025-06-22 0.013148 0.028482 0.051985 0.087677 0.137648 0.202447 0.290065
2025-06-29 0.012213 0.027373 0.051036 0.087421 0.138832 0.205956 0.297215
2025-07-06 0.011876 0.027267 0.051600 0.089341 0.143006 0.213403 0.309468